Top Goal Scorer Predictions

Top Goal Scorer Predictions

2018 FIFA World Cup Russia

The Winner:France
Dates:14 June — 15 July 2018

Who will become the top goal scorer of the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia?

The World Cup, the main tournament for four years, brings together on its fields the world strongest football players. Unless injuries happen, we will see in Russia the main global stars, except for only Alexis Sanchez and Gareth Bale whose national teams were not able to be qualified.

Which footballers will score most goals in the tournament and win the Golden Boot — a prize to the tournament best scorer? Let`s have a look at the quotations of the leading Betting Companies:

Footballer Odds
Lionel Messi 10
Cristiano Ronaldo 11
Neymar 11
Gabriel Jesus 15
Antoine Griezmann 15
Romelu Lukaku 17
Sergio Aguero 17
Alvaro Morata 17
Harry Kane 17
Timo Werner 17
Thomas Muller 17
Diego Costa 21
Luis Suarez 21
Gonzalo Higuain 21
Roberto Firmino 26
Alexandre Lacazette 26
Kylian Mbappe Lottin 26
Lars Stindl 26
Olivier Giroud 26
Mario Gomez 34
Angel Di Maria 34
Eden Hazard 34
James Rodriguez 34
Edinson Cavani 34
Paulo Dybala 34
Radamel Falcao 34
Robert Lewandowski 34
Dele Alli 41
Philippe Coutinho 41
Andre Silva 41
Mauro Icardi 41
Christian Benteke 41
Leroy Sane 41
Mercus Rashford 41
Anthony Martial 41
Sandro Wagner 41
Mesut Ozil 41
Mario Mandzukic 41
Toni Kroos 41
Isco 41
Kingsley Coman 51
David Silva 51
Javier Hernandez 51
Kevin De Bruyne 51
Mohamed Salah 51
Paolo Guerrero 51
Dries Martens 51
Jamie Verdy 51
Pedro 51
Christian Eriksen 67
Raheem Sterling 67
Paul Pogba 67
Willian 67
Julian Draxler 67
Marco Asensio 67
Sadio Mane 81
Paulinho 81
Jesse Lingard 81
Carlos Bacca 81
Nikola Kalinic 81
Nabil Fekir 81
Mario Gotze 81

As we can see, Betting Companies forecast as the Golden Boot key candidates three most expensive players in the world: Argentinean Messi, Portuguese Ronaldo and Brazilian Neymar. We will try not to agree with them.

Go to the statistics. Over the last 20 years Croat Davor Suker (1998), Brazilian Ronaldo (2002), Germans Miroslav Klose (2006) and Thomas Muller (2010), Spanish David Villa (2010), Dutch Wesley Sneijder (2010), Uruguayan Diego Forlan (2010) and Colombian James Rodriguez (2014) have become the top scorers. Except for James Rodriguez, all above footballers played in the teams which reached only the semi-final. Besides, these football players scored most goals at the group stage or round of last 16. Which is easy to explain: at the decisive stages the teams play their close defensive football with minimum goals, since the price of any mistake in a playoff game is very high.

Moreover, either a representative of the attacking team or the scoring forward of the defensive national team (like David Villa in 2010) became the best goal scorer in the World Cup.

So, according to the last tournaments statistics, either a representative of the attacking team or the scoring forward of the defensive team reaching the semi-final at least will become the Golden Boot Winner. Therefore, it is safely to exclude representatives of Croatia, Mexico, Uruguay, Colombia, Denmark and Egypt from the candidate list.

Now let`s consider the three favorites according to Betting Companies: Messi, Ronaldo and Neymar. The Argentina national football team with Leo Messi as the leader held the very difficult qualifying tournament and managed to get to the World Cup only in the last tour. In 18 qualifiers the Argentineans could scored only 19 goals, approximately one goal per game. Argentina plays their friendly matches little better. Therefore, we can assume that we will unlikely see the Argentineans among the top scorers of the forthcoming World Cup.

The Portugal national football team had a good qualifying tournament and upset their opponents 32 times. Cristiano Ronaldo became the best football player of the qualifiers. But this result is explained by concurrent existence in the Portuguese group of three “football dwarfs”: the national teams of Latvia, Andorra and the Faroe Islands. Portugal prefers to be the second in matches with the top opponents. Besides, this year is not the best for Cristiano.

Now, let`s consider the final drawing and the matches with participation of the World Cup favourites at the group stage. The Belgium national football team drew the easiest lot and became the most scoring team in the qualifying tournament. The Belgians will play with the teams of Panama, Tunisia and England. Another favourite, the German national football team, will play with the teams of Mexico, Sweden and South Korea. It is tough on the 2010 World Cup Champion, the Spain national football team, because at the group stage they have to play with Portugal. Other favourites, the French, will play with Australia, Peru and Denmark. As we can see, the opponents of France, Belgium and Germany are teams which can score many goals.

So, we daresay that a representative of one of three countries France, Belgium or Germany will become the tournament best scorer and win the Golden Boot. We`ve selected ten football players and believe that they are the main contenders for this honorary title: Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard, Romelu Lukaku, Mario Gomez, Lars Stindl, Kylian Mbappe, Neymar, Antonie Griezmann and Thomas Muller.

See Also


France Croatia
France 4 : 2 Croatia
Belgium England
Belgium 2 : 0 England
Croatia England
Croatia 2 : 1 England
France Belgium
France 1 : 0 Belgium
Russia Croatia
Russia 2 : 2 Croatia
(penalty 3 : 4)
2018 FIFA World Cup